Energy markets in Canada Click image to enlarge

Despite the continuing upheaval in the oil sector, energy markets as a whole -- wind, solar, hydro and natural gas -- are forecast to grow according to a new report from The National Energy Board (NEB).

"Canada's Energy Future 2016: Province and Territory Outlooks" highlights the diversity of energy sources across the country. It's the first time the NEB has published detailed information comparing and constrating long term energy outlooks across the provinces and the territories.

"Canada's energy production and consumption picture is as vast and diverse as the country itself. Recognizing this diversity will be critical as we deal with current energy market uncertainties and begin to implement the policies and technologies that will transform Canada to a low-carbon future. The projections in this report serve as an important baseline for those discussions," says Shelley Milutinovic, chief economist, National Energy Board.

Atlantic Canada: hydro and wind power gaining importance

10 Newfoundland and Labrador Key FindingsClick image to enlarge 08 Nova Scotia Key FindingsClick image to enlarge07 New Brunswick Key FindingsClick image to enlarge09 Prince Edward Island Key FindingsClick image to enlarge

With the expected completion of the Muskrat Falls hydroelectric facility in the coming years, more than 98 per cent of power generation in Newfoundland and Labrador will come from hydroelectricity. Exports to neighboring provinces and the U.S. are also expected to rise. Offshore oil production is expected to rise in the medium term, though declines are anticipated between 2025-2030. Future discoveries and developments are a key uncertainty to energy supply and demand going forward.

In Nova Scotia, renewable energy is expected to rise with new wind, biomass and hydroelectric generation, as well as additional supply coming from Muskrat Falls. Offshore natural gas production is expected to decline in lock-step with declines from Deep Panuke, though future discoveries and developments remain a key uncertainty to energy supply and demand.

New Brunswick is predicted to maintain a diverse electricity supply mix, with new wind and solar coming on-stream. Medium term growth in construction and manufacturing will cause an increase in electricity demand until about 2025 and then decline.

Wind generation is expected to increase in Prince Edward Island to account for about 36 per cent of the province's demand by 2040. Electricity demand is also predicted to increase due to growth in the residential, commercial and industrial sectors.

Quebec: 6,000 mw of wind, hydro capacity by 2040

06 Quebec Key FindingsClick image to enlarge

By 2040, Quebec is projected to add more than 6,000 megawatts of new wind and hydro capacity. The province's electricity exports are expected to remain strong, helped by a recent Memorandum of Understanding with Ontario to exchange electricity capacity.

Quebec's end use demand for energy is expected to grow only slightly, due to declines in the transportation and residential sectors, offsetting small gains in the commercial and industrial sectors. Demand remains below the 2007 peak through the projection period after Quebec's manufacturing sector faced significant contraction during the 2008 recession.

Relatively flat energy use growth is influenced by Quebec's participation in a GHG cap-and-trade system with California and related climate policies already in place.

Ontario: wind, solar and natural gas will lead the way

05 Ontario Key FindingsClick image to enlarge

Recent retirements of coal-fired power plants and planned nuclear refurbishments will provide a major boost to Ontario's renewable and natural-gas fired electricity generation.

By 2040, Ontario is expected to add more than 11 gigawatts of new capacity, primarily through wind, solar and natural gas generation. By that time frame, 28 per cent of the total provincial supply will come from renewable sources of wind, solar and biomass.

Ontario's electricity demand is expected to grow modestly in the same time period, but not reaching peak levels seen in 2008, although future expansion of the province's industrial sector is a key uncertainty for electrical demand.

Total end-use demand for all energy sources is expected to increase modestly, as declines in the transportation sector are outweighed by gains in the industrial, commercial and residential sectors.

Alberta: oil will remain king, pricing issues will continue

02 Alberta Key FindingsClick image to enlarge

The study shows that Alberta's crude oil production is expected to continue increasing into the future, lead by oilsands growth. The speed of that growth will be determined by future prices and infrastructure development.

Natural gas production in Alberta is expected to decline between now and 2040, unless prices increase and/or liquefied natural gas exports begin, creating new markets. Alberta's end-use demand for natural gas varies substantially based on the province's economic growth and energy production profile.

British Columbia: natural gas will lead energy growth

01 British Columbia Key FindingsClick image to enlarge

The study shows that British Columbia leads the country in projected natural gas production growth. However, the market price for natural gas and the issue of LNG (liquefied natural gas) exports are both key uncertainties in the B.C. energy marketplace going forward.

Both the economy and energy use in B.C. are expected to grow faster than the Canadian average between now and 2040. The province is projected to add nearly 5,000 megawatts of electric capacity between now and 2040, primarily from hydro with some wind, biomass and natural gas additions.

04 Manitoba Key FindingsClick image to enlarge03 Saskatchewan Key FindingsClick image to enlarge11 Yukon Key FindingsClick image to enlarge

12 Northwest Territories Key FindingsClick image to enlarge13 Nunavut Key FindingsClick image to enlarge

North America auto sector rethinks the future

As the North American automotive manufacturing industry continues to face disruptions that threaten the health of the sector, OEMS and suppliers in Canada and the US are rethinking automotive manufacturing for the future. 

Manufacturing in Canada: fastest growth since 2011

Canada's manufacturing industry continues to see strong growth and the latest figures from the Markit Canada Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) shows that the business conditions in the sector have improved at the fastest pace since April 2011.

NTC Laser, Komatsu America join forces

NTC Laser and Komatsu America Industries LLC are joining forces in North America. Both companies are subsidiaries of Komatsu America Corp., based in Rolling Meadow, IL. Going forward, Komatsu America Industries LLC/NTC Laser will become the sole source for all laser products in North America.

Mark Cadogan joins Renishaw Canada as machine tool product business manager

Effective January 2019, Mark Cadogan is joining Renishaw (Canada) Limited as machine tool product business manager. Mark has long experience in manufacturing, specifically in CAD/CAM. Although based in Windsor, Mark will be responsible for managing the Renishaw machine tool probing business throughout the whole country.

The Trump/Trudeau meeting: Canada, US to work together on economic growth

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and US President Donald Trump emerged from their first official meeting affirming their longstanding relationship and their agreement to continue to cooperate to ensure ongoing economic growth of the North American continent.

Showcasing manufacturing research

McMaster Manufacturing Research Institute's Industry Open House

Becoming more competitive means embracing new technologies that can help to reduce manufacturing costs and improve productivity.

Hypertherm launches contest for oldest system

Hypertherm is searching for oldest system in North America with its "I cut anything but corners" photo contest

Magellan signs $250 M deal with Pratt & Whitney Canada

Magellan Aerospace has signed a ten-year agreement with Pratt & Whitney Canada, a deal valued at $250 million that will see the aerospace OEM producing magnesium and aluminum castings for the engine maker's products.

Baykal debuts new fiber laser in Canada

Turkish fabricating equipment manufacturer Baykal Machine Tools debuted its new fiber laser cutting machine in Canada at a recent open house organized by Baykal's Canadian distributor Access Machinery.

ABB, B&R launch integrated machine centric robotics solution

B&R, a unit of ABB’s Robotics and Discrete Automation business, has announced the integration of ABB robots into its automation portfolio.

In memoriam: Steve Devonport

Steve Devonport, a long time advertising salesman and publisher of what was then Canadian Machinery and Metalworking and subsequently became Canadian Metalworking, has died.

Canada cringes at Biden's Made in America initiative

U.S. President Biden’s Made in America Directive, a move that strengthened the already stringent Buy America bill, is aimed at China, Canada’s manufacturing sector may bear the brunt of this economic protectionism.

Canadian economy posts “stellar” results in first half

Employment increases and sustained wage growth marked the first half of 2019 as the Canadian economy posted the best first half since 2010.

EMEC Montreal open house draws crowds

EMEC Machine Tools held its Montreal open house recently to showcase the latest in machine tool technologies.

Sharpest rise in manufacturing production since February: IHS Markit PMI

A sustained rebound in output and new business levels continued in October, with a modest improvement in business conditions in Canadian manufacturing, according to the IHS Markit Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), released November 1.

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